Yankees – Any relief coming their way? part 2

So moving on with our discussion of the relief pitchers who the Yankees used in 2008, we head into murky territory……

David Robertson (25 games). All in relief. Robertson arrived on the roster in late June, called up from Triple-A Scranton. He had spent most of the season at Double-A Trenton and is rise was precipitious. He pitched reasonably well in his first game – coming in the high profile game at Shea Stadium in the subway match-up against the Mets. Through a further 12 games in July, his pitching remained roughly of the same quality and he picked up two wins. A further win in August could not hide that it was all coming apart. Before he was sent back down to Scranton, his ERA for August was a mammoth 8.18. Again, it proved beyond the pitching coaches at the major league level to right a young arm that was flailing. He returned to the majors in mid-September and finished the season out well – ending with a 5.34 ERA for the season. I would give him a 60/40 chance of making the roster on opening day but spring training will be very important for Robertson.

Damaso Marte (25 games). All 25 games in relief. Marte arrived in the trade which also brought Xavier Nady to New York and the fact that both are very much in the reckoning for the roster for 2009 shows how good a trade that was.  Pudge for Farnsworth was a disaster. Marte and Nady for Karstens and 3 other minor leaguers (with no major league experience) looks like a master stroke – especially since Phil Coke was dropped from that deal at the last moment. Marte was a distinctive improvement on the other sole-lefties in the bullpen, Traber and Igawa who were, to say the least, not dependable. Marte had his wobbles but a 5.40 ERA does not do him justice. At the end of the season, the Yankees declined the option on Marte’s contract which surprised some but a few days later Marte was signed to a longer contract on lower wages. A good deal. Expect a more consistent year and a full season in the pinstripes in 2009.

Billy Traber (19 games). All games in relief. Traber was a surprise face on the Yankees roster in early 2008 and when he was again returned to the squad later in the year, it emphasised how little idea the Yankees had of how to fill the last few spaces in the ‘pen.  He ended the season with an ERA of just over 7 and after 6 years of not quite making at the major league level he must soon be running out of options. Boston look likely to give him a runout in the Spring but it might be his last time around.

Dan Giese (20 games). 3 starts and 17 relief appearances. There was a time in the season when Giese could do no wrong. Put him in relief and he delivered the goods, make him a spot starter and he’ll keep you in the game. This became less the case as the season went on and once more, the coaches seemed content to let him drift. Like Robertson, he will be very much in the reckoning come Spring Training but he has the advantage in that he shown his ability to eat up innings and his ERA and OBA were better. Long relief in 2009? There’s a good chance.

Chris Britton (15 games). All games in relief. Like Brian Bruney, Britton  had an inconsistent year in 2007. Both started well but the longer they remained on the squad the more their performances drifted away from an acceptable standard. Bruney arrived at Spring Training in 2008 a few stone lighter and earned a surprise spot on the early season roster and eventually overcame injury to have a career-changing year. Britton arrived at Spring Training at the same weight or more as the previous year and lacked the vigour that Bruney showed during the year. A ERA that edged above 5 was a good summary of an indifferent, sluggish year. No-one was suprised when the Yankees declined the chance to tender him a contact. The Padres will take a look at him in the Spring but don’t be surprised if he doesn’t have the energy to make the cut.

Phil Coke (12 games). All 12 appearances in relief. Coke very nearly became a Pittsburgh player in mid-season but a last minute change of mind on one side or the other of the equation saw others make that journey instead. The Yankees must be breathing a sigh of relief. In 14.2 innings he gave up 1 run. His OBA was second only to Brian Bruney and he led the team in ERA. It is way too early to tell if he can maintain something like that in the long run but the performances so far beg that he should be on the roster on opening day. Anything other than a truly dreadful spring should see him as a mainstay of the bullpen throughout 2009.

Jonathan Albaladejo (7 games). All 7 games in relief. When Albaladejo made the roster in April, I was left hunting for my Bill James handbook to figure out how I hadn’t seen that coming and to try how to figure out how to pronounce that surname. The Puerto Rican right-hander started the season well but was injured early in the year and was not able to return. He has been able to play some winter ball but will need a very good Spring to make the roster ahead of Robertson, Giese et al.

Darrell Rasner (24 games). Rasner only made 4 relief appearances. See our survey of the starters to see how Rasner performed prior to his journey to the Far East.

Next time round, we’ll mop up the last few relievers before making some more roster predictions for April.
 

Yankees – Any relief coming their way? part 1

So in the next part of the survey of the Yankees in 2008, we’ll look at the relief pitchers. As the Yankees used 24 relief pitchers during the season, we’ll take these in bite-sized portions of which this will be the first.

Mariano Rivera (64 games). All 64 games came in relief. Rivera is a phenomenon. Nothing short of a phenomenon. He is perhaps the best pitcher I’ve ever seen. Every time he loses his way for a few games, the gainsayers say that age has caught up with him and every time he regathers himself and continues as before. This year was a classic case in point. He was outstanding in save situations. 39 saves in 40 opportunities. However, this year he struggled in situations when he came into a game with the scores tied. He had a significant run of games when he was unable to hold these situations. It was hard to find the logic in this. But I have no doubt he will rebound. His ERA of 1.40 was the second best of his career. Another outstanding season for him with a few flaws. He will be the closer for the Yankees another season yet.

Jose Veras (60 games). All 60 games came in relief. Veras had his best year, in this his third year in pinstripes. He pitched 57.2 innings and finished with a 3.59 ERA. He failed in both save opportunities he had but was credited with 10 "holds". Having started the year without a win at the major league level and opening the season at Scranton-Wilkes Barre (he had an outstanding 1.38 ERA in 13 appearances there) because of injury, he showed his development with 5 wins and his ability to douse an opponent down and give the Yankees batters time to gather runs made up for Mariano’s psychological difficulties in games that were tied. He should be a backbone for the relief staff in 2009 once more.

Edwar Ramirez (55 games). The gaunt, bespectacled Ramirez had another inconsistent year. At times in charge of his repertoire and able to be amongst the strongest tools at the coaches’ disposal. Other times allowing runs in blocks and looking uncomfortable on the mound. His ERA of 3.90 was a massive improvement on his 2007 form but if he could find that dependability and consistency, he could be so much more. As a consequence spring training will be even more of a lottery for him than it always is for a relief pitcher. He should make the major league roster but this is by no means guaranteed.

Kyle Farnsworth (45 games). I’d been very lukewarm in my enthusiasm for Farnsworth since he came to New York in 2006. So when all the talk of Girardi being able to revive his career and confidence began prior to 2008, I didn’t believe a word. Having begun the season in a very indifferent way it seemed evident that talk is just talk. But then Farnsworth hit his stride and his pitching showed a finesse I’d not seen before. It was then something of a bolt for the blue when at the end of July he was traded away to Detroit for Pudge Rodriguez where his season somewhat came apart at the seams. I was very critical of Girardi’s coaching staff during 2008 but their handling of Farnsworth shows there was some diamonds to be found in the rough and gives me much hope for 2009. I was sorry to see him go, the trade really was a bad move for the Yankees. Farnsworth should have stayed and hope he does well for Kansas in 2009.

LaTroy Hawkins (33 games). All 33 games in relief. Hawkins was a disaster for the Yankees. He squabbled over shirt numbers before the season began and annoyed the fans with his choices. His pitching performances never seemed likely to regain their sympathy. He was consistently bad. When the Yankees cut him loose, I wouldn’t have been surprised if he didn’t find any takers. But Houston offered the Yankees a minor league second baseman of little consequence in exchange for his talents. At Houston he proved a revelation and was consistently dominating. How do you explain these things. Perhaps the fans put him off his stride. Perhaps he couldn’t handle the city. Anyway, he is re-signed for Houston for 2009 where he seems to have re-found his niche.

Brian Bruney (32 games). 31 games in relief. Bruney’s inconsistency had been his undoing in previous seasons. I was surprised when he made the roster in 2008. But this year, he began the season well. He had lost some weight and perhaps sensing that his chances were running out, he had a new determination. All was going well until he suffered a bizarre injury to his foot in late April. It seemed like such bad luck and it seemed likely judging by past history,  that he would not find it easy to regain his stride. However, he managed just that. His ERA of 1.83 was a fair reflection of his form throughout. Whether he can reproduce this form in 2009 is still something of a question mark but he should be in the bullpen come April and deserves every chance.

Joba Chamberlain (42 games). 30 games in relief. Chamberlain is so dominating as a reliever and as yet to prove himself as a starter. It’s a mystery to me why the Yankees are so hellbent to make him into someone who can produce that dominancy and consistency over 6 innings rather than 1 or 2. Rivera started out as an indifferent starter and has been no less valuable because he had to drop down into the bullpen. Chamberlain could do for Rivera what Rivera himself did for Wetteland not so many moons ago and then when Rivera’s retirement comes (as regrettably some day it will) perhaps Chamberlain can dominate as a closer. All of this seems sensible but the Steinbrenners seem to know better. Consequently, they will continue to force him into a mold that he might not fit. Only time will tell but I hope he is a reliever come April – but I very much doubt it.

Ross Ohlendorf (25 games). All games in relief. Ohlendorf began the season as he had ended 2007 – as a more-than-competent right hand reliever out of the bullpen. But as the season went along, he gradually came unwound as so many of the Yankeees’ pitchers lost their way during the year. As in the case of those others, the coaching staff could do nothing to turn it around. Ohlendorf moved to Pittsburgh who fancied him as a starter but that doesn’t seem to have worked out and whilst he seems like to start the year as a Pirate, his future is uncertain. It is the pitching coaches at New York who need to up their game in 2009.

So those were the major players in the bullpen in 2008. I will continue to survey their cohorts in a later report.

Yankees – Back to the the start..ing pitchers

At the start of 2008, the Yankees weren’t sure about their number 5 starter and were hoping against hope that Mike Mussina could overcome the years and do better than he did in 2007. Well, that prayer was answered but all the things that they took for granted….. that Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes could handle a full season in the top bracket, that Chien-Ming Wang would deliver again and that Andy Pettitte would give them 18-20 wins…. turned to dust in their hands.
And so the "go with youth" policy was broken into pieces and much money has been spent to put C.C. Sabathia and A.J. Burnett into the rotation for next year. So what went wrong?

Mike Mussina (34 games) 34 starts and an indian summer to match them all. 20 wins. 3.37 ERA and .278 OBA. 200.1 innings pitched. Mussina had looked like he had popped his cork in 2007 and I had very slim hopes of him returning to form. In 2008, he looked like a different pitcher and he ceased to rely on the game that had carried him through when he was a younger man. He looked canny and crafty and he suffered only 9 losses on the year. In short, he was a tour-de-force………… But now he’s retired and the surprise package of 2008 needs to be replaced and so the Yankees had to spend money.

Andy Pettitte
(33 games) 33 starts and rather mediocre. When Pettitte won he quite often did so because the bats delivered and gave him substantial run support. When the bats didn’t deliver (and that wasn’t infrequent), he invariably lost. He ended the year at 14-14 with a 4.54 ERA. Consequently, the Yankees are still pondering whether they need Pettitte for next year. To be true if it wasn’t for his history with the club, they probably wouldn’t be asking those questions. To be true, if it wasn’t for his history with the club, he would already have signed with the Dodgers and Joe Torre. I think he should swallow deeply, remember last winter and all the damage that did to his reputation and take the $10 million that the Yankees have on the table. He would be a good no. 4 or no. 5 starter.

Darrell Rasner (24 games). 20 starts. Somehow or other, Rasner managed to come out of the year as the no. 3 starter. Somehow or other, the Yankees let his slender potential die on the vine and left him out there in some games when his demeanour told everyone he needed to be back in the dugout and to be assured that the Yankees coaching staff cared enough to protect his slender confidence. They didn’t and they sold his contract and he was on the first plane to Japan almost as soon as the season was over. He only managed 5 wins and his ERA ballooned to 5.40 although his OBA was almost identical to Pettitte’s.

Sidney Ponson (16 games). 15 starts. In 2006, Sidney Ponson got a break and wound up playing for the Yankees. He delivered a 10.47 ERA in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances. By 2008, the Yankees were so confused about their pitching that they went back to Ponson who had been cut lose by the Rangers for causing disruption in his own clubhouse. Given all this background, Ponson delivered a surprisingly competent spell with the Yankees and ended with a thoroughly workmanlike 4-4 season. His ERA was an awful 5.85 by the end but given that history that was hardly disappointing. He will struggle to find a spot in 2009 with anybody.

Chien-Ming Wang
(16 games). 15 starts. 8 wins until his injury in June. Rumoured returns in August and September didn’t materialise and in the new season, we wait and see how his recovery has left him and whether he will be his old self. All of these questions, again, ensured that the Yankees would spend and spend big. In the first half of the year, he looked like it could be another great year. He should be back as a number 2 starter but we’ll have to wait and see.

Joba Chamberlain (42 games). Whatever his role in 2009, Chamberlain saw more time as a reliever in 2008, so we’ll deal with him in that category.

Ian Kennedy (10 games). 9 starts. In 2007, he had 1 win and a 1.89 ERA. In 2008, he had 0 wins and a 8.17 ERA. What’s wrong with this picture? Well, the Yankees talked him up into believing that he was the next big thing and really they only had that one win and some other strong innings to base it on. They (and he) started to believe the publicity when everyone came and tried to persuade the Yankees to part with him in the off-season. But they still had little to base this confidence on and they should have been still talking to him about "potential". By mid-season, there was talk of attitude problems and a post-game interview that showed it for all to see. Unless something stunning happens in Spring Training, Kennedy will begin the season at Triple-AAA and unless the whole thing falls apart during 2009, he will have gone away quietly by the end of the season. At best long relief, but really I don’t see it.

Phil Hughes (8 games) 8 starts. If anything, Hughes was an even brighter hope than Kennedy, if you believed the hype at the end of 2007. In reality, he has a better chance of being nurtured by the Yankees in the days that lie ahead. No wins and a 6.62 ERA is not encouraging but he did well when reassigned to Scranton and has had some good innings in winter ball. He could battle it out with Alfredo Aceves for the 5th starter spot.

Carl Pavano (7 games) 7 starts. Before they put all their confidence in the farm system, it was big signings like Pavano who didn’t deliver and didn’t seem to care that they hadn’t delivered that had made the Yankees wary of the free agent market. Lessons quickly learnt and quickly forgotten. Pavano, probably, had his most dependable season for the Yankees in 2008 but conversely he also delivered up his highest ERA. But then nothing makes sense about this guy’s four year contract. In 4 seasons, he appeared in 26 games and the only good thing that can be said about that was that he was competent (no better) when the Yankees needed to find ANY pitching in late 2008 and he was finally ready to steer clear of the disabled list. He certainly won’t be in New York in March and will be lucky to find a spot anywhere else.

Alfredo Aceves (6 games) 4 starts. Now here’s an interesting one. During his short stint in the Bronx in late 2008, we saw a couple of different Aceves. At his best, he looked excellent, other days he looked ordinary. If this was the beginning of last season, we would be setting up Aceves to be a major part of the starting rotation based on that. This year, that is about good enough to be overlooked. The currency has changed and lots of it is on the table. He had a 2.40 ERA in 2008 with 1 win which come to think of it is not very far adrift from what Kennedy produced in 2007. In these money spending days, he will be lucky to make the number 5 slot. Let’s hope he does.

Dan Giese (20 games) 3 starts. Again, as that was his principal role, we’ll look at him on our relievers report.

Brian Bruney (32 games) 1 start. We’ll see more of him as a reliever.

So where are we now?

The contenders seem to be: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Chamberlain – Hughes – Pettitte (unsigned) – Kennedy – Aceves

The odds are on a rotation of: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Chamberlain – Hughes

I’d like to see: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Pettitte – Aceves.

Let’s see what happens in the Spring.

Yankees – Catching as catch can…..

Jorge Posada’s injury dramatically effected the Yankees season …. and only time will tell whether he can return to his pre-injury form and what the Yankees will do if he doesn’t. Anyway his injury unsettled things at the catching position in 2008 and the Yankees end up utilising five other players in the postion. Here’s how it went:

Jose Molina (100 games). 97 games at catcher. Molina had a very impressive year in 2007 and had been established as someone who could more than easily adapt to being the Yankees no. 2 catcher and Posada’s back-up. The problem was that in most of the year in 2008, he was left exposed, no longer backup but the first-string catcher and this left him vulnerable and his offensive figures fell away rapidly. His 2008 figures were .216 (BA), .313 (SLG) and .263 (OBP). This compared unfavourably to his .318 (BA), .439 (SLG) and .333 (OBP) during the time he spent on the Yankees roster in 2007. A substantial fall indeed. After this, he is still a very capable defensive player and there is no reason why his offensive figures shouldn’t rebound if the Yankees can take the weight of starting from him.

Chad Moeller (41 games). 33 games at catcher. At one point in the season, Moeller was on waivers with Molina and Posada set to hold the roles for the rest of the year. Injury intervened once more and the Yankees were able to breathe a sigh of relief when he wasn’t claimed and they could restore him to the roster. He became a surprising and vital cog at moments during the season, simply because he gave them a capable player at a position where they were running out of options. He batted .231 in 91 at bats which sounds unspectacular until you notice that it was higher than both Pudge and Molina. He also saw a little time at 1b, 3b and DH and proved a valuable man to have upon the bench. His 9th season in the majors and this was his best. His time at the Yankees is probably over but we were glad he was there at the time.

Jorge Posada (51 games). Injuries and lingering problems meant that only 30 of these games came behind the plate. He still managed to produce .268 BA but this is now largely irrelevant. The questions are all about 2009 and not about 2008. The hope is that the injury accounts for all the decline of the year and that the surgery will restore him and that age does not come into this at all. Only time will tell.

Ivan Rodriguez (33 games). 30 of these games included time as catcher. Now if the Yankees had signed Pudge in the second half of the year to cover for an injured catcher a few seasons ago, it would have been regarded as a major coup. But that was then and this is now…. Age and time meant that the best that Rodriguez could muster whilst in pinstripes was a batting average of .219 with 2 home runs. This from a guy who was capable of .332 and 25 home runs a decade ago, and .330 with 13 home runs just two years ago, meant that he never became more than second choice for the Yankees and his presence didn’t really benefit Molina’s plight. Consequently, the Yankees have no interest in re-signing him and he might be looking at retirement.

Francisco Cervelli (3 games) All his games came at catcher and were in September as the Yankees widened their roster to give those who had had good seasons at Triple-A Scranton a taste of the majors. In 5 at-bats, he didn’t manage a hit and he managed to strike out three times. But he served 13.2 innings behind the plate without an error and he looked more than serviceable there. Chances are he will be back at Scranton during the first half of 2009 but there will be questions about Posada well into spring training and, who knows, he could give Molina and new signing, Kevin Cash a run for a roster spot, if he has a good spring.

Chris Stewart (1 game). Posada and Molina were unavailable because of injury, Moeller had been placed on waivers and hadn’t yet cleared or being claimed and someone needed to catch. Journeyman, Chris Stewart, was making up the roster at Scranton and was called up for the day, making it three MLB clubs he has seen limited service on in 3 years. He got three at-bats and no-hits and a few days later he was gone. Next year, he looks likely to have a chance back at his first club, Chicago White Sox but for one day he was our only option.

Next year? Well, if injury doesn’t again rear its ugly head then it should be Posada – Molina, one-two but if Posada is ruled out or can’t manage too long behind the plate then Cervelli may get his chance. New signing, Kevin Cash, will only come into the mix, if they decide to carry three catchers. The optimist in me says look for Posada as catcher come opening day. 

Yankees – Did the Yankees get it right in rightfield in 2008?

The Yankees were pretty much set in rightfield during 2008. . Whilst they used five other players in walk-on roles, the rightfield pretty much belonged to Bobby Abreu. Since the season finished the Yankees seem to have show little interest in the out-of-contract Mr Abreu. So what the story?

Bobby Abreu (156 games). Of those a massive 150 games saw Abreu spend time in rightfield. And it has to be said that Bobby was a very consistent presence in an uncertain year for the Bronx Bombers. He finished the season with a .296 batting average. He endured a slower start in April, going .269 on the month but he soon picked up the pace. He batted .330 with a .570 slugging average and 4 home runs the following month. June was a slower month but in July he hung around a .300 average all month before closing it out at .299. He also managed 20 RBIs in July, second only to A-Rod. In August, he had a quieter month for power but leapt to a season-high .342 batting average, only topped by the resurgent Derek Jeter. He finished the season with a quiet .276 which meant that he dropped below the .300 line for the season. His 100 RBIs and 100 runs and 20 homers made him a stand-out player for the Yankees in most every category, so why the lack of interest?
Well, the headline is that Abreu wants a multi-year deal and the Yankees would only be interested in having him back for 1 year initially. This would make sense on the cautious-build-from-within-2008 Yankees but makes no sense for the 2009 Yankees who having just rid themselves of 1 under-performing long-contract first-baseman have just signed Mark Teixeira to a mere eight years. For some reason, Abreu’s face doesn’t fit but whatever that is about it seems to have little to do with his on-field play. Go figure. It’s not likely that 1 year contract is even on the table for him to refuse. I’m more likely to be playing in the outfield than Abreu is – and that makes absolutely no sense.

Xavier Nady (59 games). Nady played only 7 games in rightfield. See my leftfield analysis for some thoughts on his season.

Melky Cabrera (129 games). 5 of those included time in rightfield. See my analysis of the centrefielders for a look at his troubled season.

Justin Christian (24 games). 5 in rightfield. Most in leftfield. And you’ll find my thoughts on him on the leftfield page.

Shelley Duncan
(23 games). He played in rightfield in 4 games. See my first base analysis for my thoughts on his year.

Hideki Matsui (93 games). Only 3 of those came in rightfield. I’ll get to him when I get to the designated hitters.

And for 2009? Well, there’s Nady, Damon, Swisher (well, they have to find somewhere to put him now they’ve got Teixeira) and my money’s on Nady. The fact that he only played 7 games there in 2008 should worry the Yankees. Should worry them a lot……..

….. It’s a wonderful life…….

So Christmas Eve is here…….

Last night, I attended a showing of Frank Capra’s classic, "It’s A Wonderful Life" at the British Film Institute. This Jimmy Stewart film really does age well and no matter how often I see it still gets me right there. There’s something special about seeing it on the big screen too. I don’t go to the cinema often but the BFI have drawn me out twice in one week – first to see Tyrone Power in "The Mark Of Zorro" and then for "It’s A Wonderful Life". They do sterling work and a night out there is always a good time.

James Stewart in "It’s A Wonderful Life"

Tyrone Power and Basil Rathbone in "The Mark of Zorro" 

Carols at Ravenscourt Park

As I mentioned last week, we sang Christmas carols to raise money for the homeless at our neighbourhood tube station, Ravenscourt Park, here in Hammersmith. The event went extremely well. The sound was beautiful. Several hundred pounds were raised from kind passers-by.

Last night, the London Paper, one of our local evening freebies, made our event subject of the picture-of-the-day. That’s Sereyna, my daughter, in the foreground, with her collecting bucket.

God Rest You, Merry Gentlemen

Place: St Brides Church, Fleet Street, London

Time: Yesterday Evening

Event: The "Jethro Tull Christmas Carol Service"

What? Those rockers who so ably debunked organised religion on their album, "Aqualung", in a Christian church and involved and leading an event full of Christmas Carols, prayers and Bible readings.

Surprising, indeed.

But this was an event aimed at raising money and support for London’s homeless and this proved an easy alliance. Aqualung, a wheezy old tramp of the old school, didn’t make an appearance but there was a portion of "Thick as a Brick". In short, Tull took care of seasonal entertainment whilst the clergy and church members added the spiritual decoration. And a fine night was had by all.

Highlights of the night? Gentle wintry folk, from Tull, including "Weathercock" from Heavy Horses, and "Jack-in-the-Green". They also turned their hand to jazzy renditions of traditional Christmas music – albeit in instrumental form – with "God Rest Ye, Merry, Gentlemen" and "We Five (Three) Kings of Orient Are". They even came over all Steeleye Span with their own re-working of "Gaudete", led by Ian Anderson and the church’s choir, with the congregation doing their best on the chorus.

Journalist, Gavin Esler and actor, Andrew Lincoln helped Ian and the men in dog-collars out with the scripture and poetry readings.

Apparently, the whole thing will be mixed down for a limited cd release.

A cool yule indeed!

Ian Anderson of Jethro Tull gets into the Christmas Spirit  

Yankees – Back to the centre (field) of everything

Centrefield seems to have been clearly identified as a major problem for the Yankees last season (second only to starting pitching). Consequently, come spring training it will be an area that is closely watched – that is unless the Yankees make a trade before then which settles the matter. It is somewhat surprising then to realise that they only used four men in that role in the whole of 2008 and that they didn’t spend the whole year casting around for a suitable occupant. Here’s the runners and riders:

Melky Cabrera (129 games). Of those 129, a 115 were spent in the centre of the outfield. He batted .249 during 2008 which was a 24 point drop off on his performance in the preceding year. Whilst this is a worrying development, it is significantly ahead of Brett Gardner (see below) who would be Cabrera’s nearest rival if there was no trade made before the season started (this seems far more likely than chasing a free agent). This wasn’t a season where Cabrera’s fortune rose and fell frequently as the months passed. Whilst he hit .299 in April, there was little to smile about after that. His average fell to .234 in May and then to a lowpoint .206 in June. He rose again to .272 in July but by August was out of favour and headed for the minors. Interestingly, he performed well at Scranton-Wilkes Barre and when he returned to the Bronx in September, he batted .462 over the 12 games in which he appeared. It does seem though that he has lost the confidence of the management of the New York team and that is a notoriously difficult thing to regain. Expect him to be gone before opening day.

Johnny Damon (143 games). Only 34 of Damon’s games saw him occupy centrefield at some stage in the ballgame. See my analysis of the leftfielders for some comments on his campaign as a whole.

Brett Gardner (42 games) Gardner spent time in centrefield in 22 of his appearances. The Yankees showed more and more enthusiasm for Gardner as the season progressed in 2008. It seems likely though that this enthusiasm was created by their lack of confidence in Cabrera (see above) than by anything in Gardner’s ability to fill this role in the long term. A reality check is required when we realise that Cabrera topped him not only in batting average but in slugging and on-base percentage too. Gardner has better speed on the base paths, not least shown in his 13 stolen bases to Cabrera’s 9, which were delivered in far fewer appearances. He also is the better fielder and his throwing arm has a greater range. The fact remains, however, that it is more likely that Cabrera might regain lost ground offensively than Gardner deliver something that just doesn’t seem to have ever been there. Expect Gardner to be the back-up outfield on opening day. For my money he is the third most likely player to occupy centrefield on a regular basis for the Yankees in 2009.

Justin Christian (24 games). Christian played in centrefield for only 3 games in 2008. For some thoughts on his season, please see my leftfield analysis. Since that was written, the Yankees have decided not to tender Christian a contract for 2009 which makes him a free agent. This is no surprise and falls into line with my prediction.

So where to for centrefield? Well, the big money remains on Mike Cameron arriving from the Brewers and becoming the resident in that role. If that doesn’t happen look for Cabrera and Gardner to run-off for that spot during Spring training with Cabrera an unlikely winner.

Carol singing at Christmas

If anyone is in Hammersmith, London, tomorrow afternoon and evening then look out for a group I’ve organised singing Christmas Carols and collecting money for the homeless of the neighbourhood. Hey, all of this started with a kid who couldn’t find a bed for the night so this is really in the spirit of the occasion.
One gathering of singers will be at Ravenscourt Park tube station and the other just across the road from there. Come along, add your voices if you like and bring your coins and notes to help those who are out in the cold this winter