Back to Baseball……..

With the new season almost upon us, it’s time to catch up on what’s been happening in Spring Training and beyond……

The Yankees had the worst news going into Spring Training as the detail broke that Alex Rodriguez had used steroids whilst with his previous club, Texas Rangers. Rodriguez, in a fair world, should be serving a lengthy suspension but because of the time in which this happened no punitive action has been taken.

Fortunately / unfortunately, it was revealed that A-Rod was carrying a hip problem and would need surgery resulting in him being out of the mix for two-three months. This enabled the rest of the team to get on with the matter in hand without the spotlight caused by their team-mate’s behaviour.

Being able to concentrate on baseball served them well and the Yankees have produced the record of all those in the "Grapefruit League" (training teams based in Florida). They’ve won 20, lost 10 and tied 1.

What does this mean for the team we’ll see for the first series of the regular season?

The injured Alex Rodriguez will be replaced by Cody Ransom who has hit .262 in the Spring. Back-up for that position? Well, my money would be on either Ramiro Pena or Angel Berroa. Both were non-roster invitees to training. Berroa has hit well but Pena looks the better in the field.

Last year’s bright hopes, Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes were both re-assigned to minor league camp some time ago. Hughes had a good Spring and is unfortunate. Kennedy will probably hawk his attitude in another town if he wants to get back to the Majors.

Suprise of the Spring was Japanese left-hander, Kei Igawa who pitched extremely well giving up only 1 run in his appearances as a reliever. He didn’t make the cut but could also find a job elsewhere.

Brett Gardner beat out Melky Cabrera for the centrefielder’s job. I’m sad about this one but I suspect that Melky’s cards have been marked against him since he was re-assigned to Scranton during August last year.

Last major issue to be decided? Who will pitch in long-relief? Alfredo Aceves, Dan Giese and non-roster man Bret Tomko have all been used in that role but it seems that Girardi might not go with any of them. The money is on Jonathan Albaladejo getting the last spot on the roster. He won’t be used for as many innings so this will put extra weight on the starters.

So who will we see?

1B – Mark Teixeira. (25). New signing who has had a quiet Spring.
2B – Robinson Cano (24). Needs to improve on last year.
3B – Cody Ransom (12). Will be over-matched and is a streaky hitter. But he has none of the hoop-la surrounding A-Rod.
SS – Derek Jeter (2). Has had negative press for his fielding performance but I don’t see that he’s as bad as they say.
LF – Johnny Damon (18). Another quiet Spring but he should be ready on the day.
CF – Brett Gardner (11). I’d have preferred to see Melky but I wish him well.
RF – Xavier Nady (22). Beat out Nick Swisher in what was really a no-contest.
C – Jorge Posada (20) / Jose Molina (26). Could still be either of them on opening day. Posada hasn’t seen much time behind the plate in the Spring
DH – Hideki Matsui (55). Coming off surgery. Swisher is waiting in the wings.

Starting Pitchers:

CC Sabathia (52)
AJ Burnett (34)
Chien Ming-Wang (40)
Andy Pettitte (46)
Joba Chamberlain (62)

All of the starters have come through a relatively successful Spring and the rotation is as expected.

Relief Pitchers:

Jonathan Albaladejo (63)
Brian Bruney (38)
Phil Coke (48)
Damaso Marte (43)
Edwar Ramirez (36)
Jose Veras (41)
Mariano Rivera (42)

On the bench? I’d expect to see Nick Swisher (33), Melky Cabrera (53), Ramiro Pena (he’s been using 90, I think).

Prediction? If they can avoid being daunted by the A-Rod circus when he returns, I expect them to win the American League East.

Pettitte and the Yankees ….. the story continues

A few weeks ago I said:

"I’d like to see: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Pettitte – Aceves."

In another post I said:

"I think he (Pettitte) should swallow deeply, remember last winter and all the damage that did to his reputation and take the $10 million that the Yankees have on the table. He would be a good no. 4 or no. 5 starter."

Yesterday, Pettitte accepted far less than that offer – albeit in an incentive-laden deal that could net him more than that if the season goes well.

Another piece falls into place in the puzzle.

Yankees in 2009 – Where does it look like they’re going?

Having finally laid to rest the 2008 Baseball season, from a Bronx perspective,  a week ago, we now begin looking at the team as it will line-up for 2009 or at least as it looks like it will this side of Spring training.

Here are the players that I would expect to dominate the roster:

C – Jorge Posada 
1B – Mark Teixeira
2B – Robinson Cano
3B – Alex Rodriguez
SS – Derek Jeter
LF – Johnny Damon / Xavier Nady
CF – Melky Cabrera / Brett Gardner
RF – Xavier Nady / Nick Swisher
DH – Hideki Matsui / Johnny Damon

Infield Bench – Cody Ransom / Juan Miranda
Outfield bench – Brett Gardner / Nick Swisher
Catchers on bench – Jose Molina / Francisco Cervelli

SP1 – CC Sabathia
SP2 – Chien-Ming Wang
SP3 – AJ Burnett
SP4 – Joba Chamberlain
SP5 – Alfredo Aceves / Phil Hughes

Long Relief – Alfredo Aceves / Dan Giese

Middle Relief 1 – Jose Veras
Middle Relief 2 – Brian Bruney
Middle Relief 3 – Phil Coke

Left handed specialist – Damaso Marte
Closer – Mariano Rivera

Other pitchers in the running: Ian Kennedy, Andrew Brackman, Jonathan Albaladejo, David Robertson, Humberto Sanchez.

I’m reckoning that they’ll only carry one of the back-up catchers I’ve mentioned – very probably Molina. Aceves is in the forefront for two spots but could miss out all together. The bullpen, as always, is the least settled prior to the Spring. Nick Swisher could move prior to the start of the season.

The Twilight Dawning 1st Annual Yankees Baseball Awards

That’s TWI-D (Twilight Dawning) not TWIB (This week in Baseball)

Using the rules I explained so clearly yesterday, here are the Yankees players who fared best according to my bi-monthly updates during the 2008 season:

Batter of the Year 2008: Alex Rodriguez
Pitcher of the Year 2008: Mike Mussina
Bench player of the Year 2008: Wilson Betemit
Relief Pitcher of the Year 2008: Mariano Rivera

Most appearances without getting mentioned in the Twilight Dawning reports:
Jonathan Albaladejo (7 games) 

For the record, here are the total points gained:

Batters

 

A. Rodriguez                6

B. Abreu                      3

J. Damon                      2

D. Jeter                        1

X. Nady                       1

R. Cano                       1

H. Matsui                     0

J. Posada                     0

J. Giambi                      -1

I. Rodriguez                  -2

M. Cabrera                  -3

J. Molina                      -4

 

 

Bench

 

W. Betemit                   6

B. Gardner                   2

C. Ransom                   2

C. Moeller                    1

J. Miranda                    1

J. Christian                   0

M. Ensberg                  -1

A. Gonzalez                  -2

S. Duncan                    -2

R. Sexson                     -2

 

Pitchers

 
M. Mussina                  6

M. Rivera                     5

B. Bruney                     4

J. Veras                        4

K. Farnsworth              3

J. Chamberlain             2

A. Aceves                    2

D. Giese                       2

P. Coke                       2

C.M. Wang                  1

Andy Pettitte                0

Carl Pavano                 0

E. Ramirez                    -1

H. Sanchez                   -1

B. Traber                     -1

R. Ohlendorf                -1

S. Ponson                     -1

D. Marte                      -2

C. Britton                     -2

P. Hughes                     -2

L. Hawkins                   -2

K. Igawa                      -2

D. Robertson                -3

I. Kennedy                   -3

D. Rasner                     -5


There’s the odd anomaly (Rasner simply wasn’t that bad, he was just simply left on the roster longer than other struggling pitchers!) in this but I think it is surprisingly evocative of the way the season went.

It’s fifteen years since my first trip to Yankee Stadium. It was a privilege to be there again this season and particularly to be present for the final game at the old Stadium. Hopefully, next year will see them back in the post-season.

Almost ready to sum up

I’ve now summarised the 2008 baseball season for the New York Yankees position-by-position. Looking back over the season, I listed the most notable batter and pitchers, twice a month, in three categories. Six players (three batters, three pitchers) were recorded as Pluses, Minuses and Surprises. Going back through those lists and awarding one point for being a Plus, subtracting one for being a Minus and adding or deducting one point depending on whether they were a good Surprise or a bad one.

Totalling all this up I’ll reveal tomorrow who is the Twilight Dawning Yankees Batter of the Year, Yankees Pitcher of the Year, Yankees Bench Player of the Year and Yankees Relief Pitcher of the Year.

Yankees – and finally to the designated hitters

The Yankees used fifteen players at designated hitter in 2008……….

There was………

Johnny Damon ……. who was predominately the left fielder. He played there in 27 games.

Jason Giambi ……. who was the everyday first baseman for much of the season. He played there in 26 games.

Jorge Posada …… who would have been the everyday catcher if it hadn’t been for injury. He played there in 15 games.

Alex Rodriguez…. who was the everyday third baseman. He played there when he was recovering from injury……that was 7 games

Xavier Nady….. who took over in leftfield for most of the second half of the season. He was the DH on 7 occasions.

Bobby Abreu….. who was the everyday rightfielder. He was the DH on 4 occasions.

Chad Moeller…… a player looking for a slot in the line-up. Particularly in the second half when there was one catcher too many. 2 games.

Ivan Rodriguez…… not the player they expected at catcher, so occasionally he was used at DH. Again, just 2 games.

Derek Jeter….. occasionally even the captain / shortstop needs to do half duty…… 2 games

Justin Christian…. found time in the outfield harder to come by so he was moved to DH……. 2 games.

Shelley Duncan…… didn’t live up to expectations at 1B…… 1 game

Morgan Ensberg……. another failed first base experiment…….. 1 game

Wilson Betemit…….. the consummate bench player…… 1 game

Richie Sexson….. maybe he’ll hit more home runs without the defensive responsibilities….. 1 game

All of which shows that Girardi regards Designated Hitter as some kind of bonus role for the weak and / or recovering player he can’t slot in anywhere else. This is fine when you’re a manager in the National League where the DH only becomes an issue for the half-a-dozen inter-league games at an American League stadium which are such a pesky nuisance. However, it really doesn’t work in the American League. Whether you like the Designated Hitter or not (and I do) you have to give the player in that position some kind of consistency – and use a fit player. The only player who came close to being consistently used there was also someone carrying a debilitating medical problem awaiting attention……….

Hideki Matsui (93 games). 66 of these were at DH. Matsui’s days when he was able to be a good leftfielder seem to be behind him now. He will become a useful designated hitter if he can still hit with power…. and that remains to be seen but he will need to be a different proposition in 2009 than he was in 2008. In 2008, his slugging average was .424. This was a career low for Matsui and only 7th amongst Yankees who appeared in more than half of the games of the season. Whether the Yankees should be guiding Matsui towards retirement rather than designated hitter remains to be seen. Honouring someone who’s done good service for the team is one thing but we can’t afford to do this in the active lineup unless he comes off his September surgery vastly improved.

But who will we use at designated hitter if Matsui doesn’t work out. Whether the obvious candidate seems to be Nick Swisher, who looks peculiarly surplus to requirement, now that we have Teixeira at first base. Johnny Damon would have been destined there if we had done the sensible thing and re-signed Bobby Abreu – but that looks increasingly unlikely. Brett Gardner will need to find playing time somewhere …. but he’s scarcely in the big hitting designated hitter mold that I’m arguing for…….

So Matsui it is…… with reservations.

Yankees – Any relief coming their way? part 3

Here we have a last few comments on the relief pitchers the Yankees used this season. And then some predictions for who will man the bullpen in 2009……….

Alfredo Aceves (6 games). 4 starts, two relief appearances. For my main comments on Aceves, please see the article on starting pitchers. Suffice to say that if he doesn’t make the rotation, he should be the long reliever.

Humberto Sanchez (2 games). Both appearances in relief. Sanchez after many stumbles and time lost to injury, finally made it to the Bronx in September. Sometimes you sit in the box seats and watch someone’s debut and you know you’re watching the beginning of an era. Sometimes you sit and watch and you think you see a journeyman. My impression was the latter. He’ll need an awfully good Spring to make the roster. I don’t see it – expect him to begin the year in Scranton.

Sidney Ponson (16 games). 15 starts, 1 relief. See the Starting pitchers comments for my thoughts on Mr Ponson.

Kei Igawa (2 games). 1 start. 1 relief appearance. How the Yankees came by Igawa is anyone’s guess. He came as the next young Oriental pitcher expected to make it big in the States. He became someone who needed to be developed before he was set to be a major league regular. He is now the man who the Yankees just wish someone would take away and put an end to their and his suffering. He suffered a 13.50 ERA in 2008 as the Yankees were willing to try anyone to give them left-handed relief. Unprotected and off the 40-man roster, I doubt we will see him back in New York pinstripe.

Ian Kennedy (10 games). 9 starts, 1 in relief. See the starting pitchers list for my thoughts on his pitching and chances for 2009.

Scott Patterson
(1 game). 1 game in relief. The way that the Yankees treated Patterson in 2008 is a mystery to me. He had a great Spring and just missed the opening day roster by a hairs-breadth. In June, he was called up when the Yankees designated Morgan Ensberg for assignement and he pitched a lack-lustre 1 and a third innings in his debut for an ERA of 6.75. Too early to tell but the Yankees needed a reliever the next day so it was back to Scranton for Patterson where the people at the major level seemed to completely forget he existed. Despite a good year at Scranton, he was placed on waivers in September to clear space on the roster for incoming players (never a good sign for your future) and this seemingly expendable reliever / closer was claimed by San Diego where he had a good finish to the year giving up no runs in three appearances. This might make sense if there weren’t times in the year when the Yankees were really scratching around to find half-way decent pitchers. Anyway, good luck to him at the Padres in 2009.

So that’s em all. Where does that leave the New York Yankees’ bullpen for 2009. Well, barring any surprise additions or subtractions, I look at it like this:

Certainties: Rivera, Veras, Bruney, Marte

Likelies: Coke

Possibles: Robertson, Ramirez, Giese, Aceves

Slim chance: Albaladejo, Sanchez

This, of course, doesn’t allow for injuries and the ever-present likelihood that one of the young arms will so impress the coaches in Spring training that they decide to give him a first chance. This happens almost every year and is impossible to predict. It also doesn’t allow for the possibiility that the big noises in New York might change their minds once more and decide that Chamberlain is a reliever after all. This makes way too much sense and therefore will not happen. It does however mean that the Yankees do not have to fill the last relief spot on their roster with some make-weight like Billy Traber.

The year in relief looks good.
 

Yankees – Any relief coming their way? part 2

So moving on with our discussion of the relief pitchers who the Yankees used in 2008, we head into murky territory……

David Robertson (25 games). All in relief. Robertson arrived on the roster in late June, called up from Triple-A Scranton. He had spent most of the season at Double-A Trenton and is rise was precipitious. He pitched reasonably well in his first game – coming in the high profile game at Shea Stadium in the subway match-up against the Mets. Through a further 12 games in July, his pitching remained roughly of the same quality and he picked up two wins. A further win in August could not hide that it was all coming apart. Before he was sent back down to Scranton, his ERA for August was a mammoth 8.18. Again, it proved beyond the pitching coaches at the major league level to right a young arm that was flailing. He returned to the majors in mid-September and finished the season out well – ending with a 5.34 ERA for the season. I would give him a 60/40 chance of making the roster on opening day but spring training will be very important for Robertson.

Damaso Marte (25 games). All 25 games in relief. Marte arrived in the trade which also brought Xavier Nady to New York and the fact that both are very much in the reckoning for the roster for 2009 shows how good a trade that was.  Pudge for Farnsworth was a disaster. Marte and Nady for Karstens and 3 other minor leaguers (with no major league experience) looks like a master stroke – especially since Phil Coke was dropped from that deal at the last moment. Marte was a distinctive improvement on the other sole-lefties in the bullpen, Traber and Igawa who were, to say the least, not dependable. Marte had his wobbles but a 5.40 ERA does not do him justice. At the end of the season, the Yankees declined the option on Marte’s contract which surprised some but a few days later Marte was signed to a longer contract on lower wages. A good deal. Expect a more consistent year and a full season in the pinstripes in 2009.

Billy Traber (19 games). All games in relief. Traber was a surprise face on the Yankees roster in early 2008 and when he was again returned to the squad later in the year, it emphasised how little idea the Yankees had of how to fill the last few spaces in the ‘pen.  He ended the season with an ERA of just over 7 and after 6 years of not quite making at the major league level he must soon be running out of options. Boston look likely to give him a runout in the Spring but it might be his last time around.

Dan Giese (20 games). 3 starts and 17 relief appearances. There was a time in the season when Giese could do no wrong. Put him in relief and he delivered the goods, make him a spot starter and he’ll keep you in the game. This became less the case as the season went on and once more, the coaches seemed content to let him drift. Like Robertson, he will be very much in the reckoning come Spring Training but he has the advantage in that he shown his ability to eat up innings and his ERA and OBA were better. Long relief in 2009? There’s a good chance.

Chris Britton (15 games). All games in relief. Like Brian Bruney, Britton  had an inconsistent year in 2007. Both started well but the longer they remained on the squad the more their performances drifted away from an acceptable standard. Bruney arrived at Spring Training in 2008 a few stone lighter and earned a surprise spot on the early season roster and eventually overcame injury to have a career-changing year. Britton arrived at Spring Training at the same weight or more as the previous year and lacked the vigour that Bruney showed during the year. A ERA that edged above 5 was a good summary of an indifferent, sluggish year. No-one was suprised when the Yankees declined the chance to tender him a contact. The Padres will take a look at him in the Spring but don’t be surprised if he doesn’t have the energy to make the cut.

Phil Coke (12 games). All 12 appearances in relief. Coke very nearly became a Pittsburgh player in mid-season but a last minute change of mind on one side or the other of the equation saw others make that journey instead. The Yankees must be breathing a sigh of relief. In 14.2 innings he gave up 1 run. His OBA was second only to Brian Bruney and he led the team in ERA. It is way too early to tell if he can maintain something like that in the long run but the performances so far beg that he should be on the roster on opening day. Anything other than a truly dreadful spring should see him as a mainstay of the bullpen throughout 2009.

Jonathan Albaladejo (7 games). All 7 games in relief. When Albaladejo made the roster in April, I was left hunting for my Bill James handbook to figure out how I hadn’t seen that coming and to try how to figure out how to pronounce that surname. The Puerto Rican right-hander started the season well but was injured early in the year and was not able to return. He has been able to play some winter ball but will need a very good Spring to make the roster ahead of Robertson, Giese et al.

Darrell Rasner (24 games). Rasner only made 4 relief appearances. See our survey of the starters to see how Rasner performed prior to his journey to the Far East.

Next time round, we’ll mop up the last few relievers before making some more roster predictions for April.
 

Yankees – Any relief coming their way? part 1

So in the next part of the survey of the Yankees in 2008, we’ll look at the relief pitchers. As the Yankees used 24 relief pitchers during the season, we’ll take these in bite-sized portions of which this will be the first.

Mariano Rivera (64 games). All 64 games came in relief. Rivera is a phenomenon. Nothing short of a phenomenon. He is perhaps the best pitcher I’ve ever seen. Every time he loses his way for a few games, the gainsayers say that age has caught up with him and every time he regathers himself and continues as before. This year was a classic case in point. He was outstanding in save situations. 39 saves in 40 opportunities. However, this year he struggled in situations when he came into a game with the scores tied. He had a significant run of games when he was unable to hold these situations. It was hard to find the logic in this. But I have no doubt he will rebound. His ERA of 1.40 was the second best of his career. Another outstanding season for him with a few flaws. He will be the closer for the Yankees another season yet.

Jose Veras (60 games). All 60 games came in relief. Veras had his best year, in this his third year in pinstripes. He pitched 57.2 innings and finished with a 3.59 ERA. He failed in both save opportunities he had but was credited with 10 "holds". Having started the year without a win at the major league level and opening the season at Scranton-Wilkes Barre (he had an outstanding 1.38 ERA in 13 appearances there) because of injury, he showed his development with 5 wins and his ability to douse an opponent down and give the Yankees batters time to gather runs made up for Mariano’s psychological difficulties in games that were tied. He should be a backbone for the relief staff in 2009 once more.

Edwar Ramirez (55 games). The gaunt, bespectacled Ramirez had another inconsistent year. At times in charge of his repertoire and able to be amongst the strongest tools at the coaches’ disposal. Other times allowing runs in blocks and looking uncomfortable on the mound. His ERA of 3.90 was a massive improvement on his 2007 form but if he could find that dependability and consistency, he could be so much more. As a consequence spring training will be even more of a lottery for him than it always is for a relief pitcher. He should make the major league roster but this is by no means guaranteed.

Kyle Farnsworth (45 games). I’d been very lukewarm in my enthusiasm for Farnsworth since he came to New York in 2006. So when all the talk of Girardi being able to revive his career and confidence began prior to 2008, I didn’t believe a word. Having begun the season in a very indifferent way it seemed evident that talk is just talk. But then Farnsworth hit his stride and his pitching showed a finesse I’d not seen before. It was then something of a bolt for the blue when at the end of July he was traded away to Detroit for Pudge Rodriguez where his season somewhat came apart at the seams. I was very critical of Girardi’s coaching staff during 2008 but their handling of Farnsworth shows there was some diamonds to be found in the rough and gives me much hope for 2009. I was sorry to see him go, the trade really was a bad move for the Yankees. Farnsworth should have stayed and hope he does well for Kansas in 2009.

LaTroy Hawkins (33 games). All 33 games in relief. Hawkins was a disaster for the Yankees. He squabbled over shirt numbers before the season began and annoyed the fans with his choices. His pitching performances never seemed likely to regain their sympathy. He was consistently bad. When the Yankees cut him loose, I wouldn’t have been surprised if he didn’t find any takers. But Houston offered the Yankees a minor league second baseman of little consequence in exchange for his talents. At Houston he proved a revelation and was consistently dominating. How do you explain these things. Perhaps the fans put him off his stride. Perhaps he couldn’t handle the city. Anyway, he is re-signed for Houston for 2009 where he seems to have re-found his niche.

Brian Bruney (32 games). 31 games in relief. Bruney’s inconsistency had been his undoing in previous seasons. I was surprised when he made the roster in 2008. But this year, he began the season well. He had lost some weight and perhaps sensing that his chances were running out, he had a new determination. All was going well until he suffered a bizarre injury to his foot in late April. It seemed like such bad luck and it seemed likely judging by past history,  that he would not find it easy to regain his stride. However, he managed just that. His ERA of 1.83 was a fair reflection of his form throughout. Whether he can reproduce this form in 2009 is still something of a question mark but he should be in the bullpen come April and deserves every chance.

Joba Chamberlain (42 games). 30 games in relief. Chamberlain is so dominating as a reliever and as yet to prove himself as a starter. It’s a mystery to me why the Yankees are so hellbent to make him into someone who can produce that dominancy and consistency over 6 innings rather than 1 or 2. Rivera started out as an indifferent starter and has been no less valuable because he had to drop down into the bullpen. Chamberlain could do for Rivera what Rivera himself did for Wetteland not so many moons ago and then when Rivera’s retirement comes (as regrettably some day it will) perhaps Chamberlain can dominate as a closer. All of this seems sensible but the Steinbrenners seem to know better. Consequently, they will continue to force him into a mold that he might not fit. Only time will tell but I hope he is a reliever come April – but I very much doubt it.

Ross Ohlendorf (25 games). All games in relief. Ohlendorf began the season as he had ended 2007 – as a more-than-competent right hand reliever out of the bullpen. But as the season went along, he gradually came unwound as so many of the Yankeees’ pitchers lost their way during the year. As in the case of those others, the coaching staff could do nothing to turn it around. Ohlendorf moved to Pittsburgh who fancied him as a starter but that doesn’t seem to have worked out and whilst he seems like to start the year as a Pirate, his future is uncertain. It is the pitching coaches at New York who need to up their game in 2009.

So those were the major players in the bullpen in 2008. I will continue to survey their cohorts in a later report.

Yankees – Back to the the start..ing pitchers

At the start of 2008, the Yankees weren’t sure about their number 5 starter and were hoping against hope that Mike Mussina could overcome the years and do better than he did in 2007. Well, that prayer was answered but all the things that they took for granted….. that Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes could handle a full season in the top bracket, that Chien-Ming Wang would deliver again and that Andy Pettitte would give them 18-20 wins…. turned to dust in their hands.
And so the "go with youth" policy was broken into pieces and much money has been spent to put C.C. Sabathia and A.J. Burnett into the rotation for next year. So what went wrong?

Mike Mussina (34 games) 34 starts and an indian summer to match them all. 20 wins. 3.37 ERA and .278 OBA. 200.1 innings pitched. Mussina had looked like he had popped his cork in 2007 and I had very slim hopes of him returning to form. In 2008, he looked like a different pitcher and he ceased to rely on the game that had carried him through when he was a younger man. He looked canny and crafty and he suffered only 9 losses on the year. In short, he was a tour-de-force………… But now he’s retired and the surprise package of 2008 needs to be replaced and so the Yankees had to spend money.

Andy Pettitte
(33 games) 33 starts and rather mediocre. When Pettitte won he quite often did so because the bats delivered and gave him substantial run support. When the bats didn’t deliver (and that wasn’t infrequent), he invariably lost. He ended the year at 14-14 with a 4.54 ERA. Consequently, the Yankees are still pondering whether they need Pettitte for next year. To be true if it wasn’t for his history with the club, they probably wouldn’t be asking those questions. To be true, if it wasn’t for his history with the club, he would already have signed with the Dodgers and Joe Torre. I think he should swallow deeply, remember last winter and all the damage that did to his reputation and take the $10 million that the Yankees have on the table. He would be a good no. 4 or no. 5 starter.

Darrell Rasner (24 games). 20 starts. Somehow or other, Rasner managed to come out of the year as the no. 3 starter. Somehow or other, the Yankees let his slender potential die on the vine and left him out there in some games when his demeanour told everyone he needed to be back in the dugout and to be assured that the Yankees coaching staff cared enough to protect his slender confidence. They didn’t and they sold his contract and he was on the first plane to Japan almost as soon as the season was over. He only managed 5 wins and his ERA ballooned to 5.40 although his OBA was almost identical to Pettitte’s.

Sidney Ponson (16 games). 15 starts. In 2006, Sidney Ponson got a break and wound up playing for the Yankees. He delivered a 10.47 ERA in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances. By 2008, the Yankees were so confused about their pitching that they went back to Ponson who had been cut lose by the Rangers for causing disruption in his own clubhouse. Given all this background, Ponson delivered a surprisingly competent spell with the Yankees and ended with a thoroughly workmanlike 4-4 season. His ERA was an awful 5.85 by the end but given that history that was hardly disappointing. He will struggle to find a spot in 2009 with anybody.

Chien-Ming Wang
(16 games). 15 starts. 8 wins until his injury in June. Rumoured returns in August and September didn’t materialise and in the new season, we wait and see how his recovery has left him and whether he will be his old self. All of these questions, again, ensured that the Yankees would spend and spend big. In the first half of the year, he looked like it could be another great year. He should be back as a number 2 starter but we’ll have to wait and see.

Joba Chamberlain (42 games). Whatever his role in 2009, Chamberlain saw more time as a reliever in 2008, so we’ll deal with him in that category.

Ian Kennedy (10 games). 9 starts. In 2007, he had 1 win and a 1.89 ERA. In 2008, he had 0 wins and a 8.17 ERA. What’s wrong with this picture? Well, the Yankees talked him up into believing that he was the next big thing and really they only had that one win and some other strong innings to base it on. They (and he) started to believe the publicity when everyone came and tried to persuade the Yankees to part with him in the off-season. But they still had little to base this confidence on and they should have been still talking to him about "potential". By mid-season, there was talk of attitude problems and a post-game interview that showed it for all to see. Unless something stunning happens in Spring Training, Kennedy will begin the season at Triple-AAA and unless the whole thing falls apart during 2009, he will have gone away quietly by the end of the season. At best long relief, but really I don’t see it.

Phil Hughes (8 games) 8 starts. If anything, Hughes was an even brighter hope than Kennedy, if you believed the hype at the end of 2007. In reality, he has a better chance of being nurtured by the Yankees in the days that lie ahead. No wins and a 6.62 ERA is not encouraging but he did well when reassigned to Scranton and has had some good innings in winter ball. He could battle it out with Alfredo Aceves for the 5th starter spot.

Carl Pavano (7 games) 7 starts. Before they put all their confidence in the farm system, it was big signings like Pavano who didn’t deliver and didn’t seem to care that they hadn’t delivered that had made the Yankees wary of the free agent market. Lessons quickly learnt and quickly forgotten. Pavano, probably, had his most dependable season for the Yankees in 2008 but conversely he also delivered up his highest ERA. But then nothing makes sense about this guy’s four year contract. In 4 seasons, he appeared in 26 games and the only good thing that can be said about that was that he was competent (no better) when the Yankees needed to find ANY pitching in late 2008 and he was finally ready to steer clear of the disabled list. He certainly won’t be in New York in March and will be lucky to find a spot anywhere else.

Alfredo Aceves (6 games) 4 starts. Now here’s an interesting one. During his short stint in the Bronx in late 2008, we saw a couple of different Aceves. At his best, he looked excellent, other days he looked ordinary. If this was the beginning of last season, we would be setting up Aceves to be a major part of the starting rotation based on that. This year, that is about good enough to be overlooked. The currency has changed and lots of it is on the table. He had a 2.40 ERA in 2008 with 1 win which come to think of it is not very far adrift from what Kennedy produced in 2007. In these money spending days, he will be lucky to make the number 5 slot. Let’s hope he does.

Dan Giese (20 games) 3 starts. Again, as that was his principal role, we’ll look at him on our relievers report.

Brian Bruney (32 games) 1 start. We’ll see more of him as a reliever.

So where are we now?

The contenders seem to be: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Chamberlain – Hughes – Pettitte (unsigned) – Kennedy – Aceves

The odds are on a rotation of: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Chamberlain – Hughes

I’d like to see: Sabathia – Wang – Burnett – Pettitte – Aceves.

Let’s see what happens in the Spring.